Today’s Stock Picks
Model-based per-holding thesis context: compares fresh evidence signals, recent price action and longer-term historical context. Same data the report and cockpit panel use.
Summary
Aligned 3Divergent 1Weaker alignment 0No material change 3Mixed 1as of 2026-08-01
Holdings Evidence Context
Divergent 1
Positive evidence signal; recent price action is not aligned (down 1w, up modestly 1m) — this indicates a divergence between evidence and recent price action. Historical context: recovering setup. Current model context: evidence and recent price action diverge.
- Analyst action recorded.
Historical: recovering · extension extreme (97th pctl) · 1y +43.1% · 3y +55.6% · RS1y +20.0% · 5.2% below 1y high
Aligned 3
Positive evidence (high) confirmed by price (up 1w, leading RS).
- Analyst action recorded.
Historical: normal · extension elevated (80th pctl) · 1y +39.9% · 3y +316.8% · RS1y +17.3% · 1.6% below 1y high
Positive evidence (high) confirmed by price (up modestly 1w, leading RS).
- Analyst action recorded.
Historical: recovering · extension normal (48th pctl) · 1y -18.4% · 3y +18.7% · RS1y -31.6% · 18.9% below 1y high
Positive evidence (high); price up modestly 1w / up modestly 1m.
- Positive m and a signal recorded.
- Positive partnership signal recorded.
Historical: recovering · extension normal (41th pctl) · 1y -1.0% · 3y +91.0% · RS1y -17.0% · 18.3% below 1y high
No material change 3
No fresh company-specific catalyst or material analyst change. Price up modestly 1w / up 1m.
Historical: recovering · extension elevated (83th pctl) · 1y +18.9% · 3y +3.2% · RS1y -0.4% · 10.0% below 1y high
No fresh company-specific catalyst or material analyst change. Price flat 1w / up 1m.
Historical: normal · extension normal (70th pctl) · 1y +40.1% · 3y +162.6% · RS1y +17.4% · 1.5% below 1y high
No fresh company-specific catalyst or material analyst change. Price up 1w / slightly down 1m.
Historical: recovering · extension elevated (89th pctl) · 1y +61.7% · 3y +390.6% · RS1y +35.5% · 9.4% below 1y high
Mixed 1
Conflicting catalysts (mixed); price down 1w / up modestly 1m.
- Risk regulatory signal recorded.
- Positive partnership signal recorded.
Historical: normal · extension normal (27th pctl) · 1y +13.7% · 3y +330.2% · RS1y -4.7% · 14.7% below 1y high
Theme Evidence Context
| Theme | Exposure | State | Aligned | Divergent | Weaker | No change | Representative | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cybersecurity Spend | 26.00% | Aligned | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | NET, CRWD | Evidence signals and recent price action are currently aligned. |
| Life Science Tools | 14.00% | No material change | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | TMO | Current evidence does not materially change the model context. |
| AI Semiconductor | 14.00% | Mixed evidence context | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NVDA | Evidence signals and recent price action currently diverge. |
| Defense Primes | 13.00% | No material change | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | RTX | Current evidence does not materially change the model context. |
| Freight Transport | 12.00% | Mixed evidence context | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | CSX | Evidence signals and recent price action currently diverge. |
| Insurance Brokers | 11.00% | Aligned | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | AJG | Evidence signals and recent price action are currently aligned. |
| Consumer Credit | 10.00% | Aligned | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | COF | Evidence signals and recent price action are currently aligned. |